Showing posts with label Malaysia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Malaysia. Show all posts

08 January 2017

Malaysia and OPEC

What is OPEC?

OPEC stands for the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. It is an intergovernmental organization, created in 1960 at the behest of Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Venezuela. These five countries are commonly called the Founding Countries of OPEC.

If you stare hard enough at the OPEC logo, you might see four barrels of oil.


Other countries which are members of OPEC include:

  1. Qatar (joined 1961), 
  2. Indonesia (joined 1962), 
  3. Libya (joined 1962), 
  4. the United Arab Emirates (joined 1967), 
  5. Algeria (joined 1969), 
  6. Nigeria (joined 1971), 
  7. Ecuador (joined 1973), 
  8. Gabon (joined 1975) and 
  9. Angola (joined 2007).

10 July 2016

RM40 billion oil revenue loss this year

Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Tun Razak shared a moment with US President Barack Obama. He was in Southern California for a working visit. Source: The Star

The Prime Minister's Speech

Sometime in February this year, the Malaysian Prime Minister, Dato Seri Najib Tun Razak, stood before a crowd of Malaysian students in Southern California. He was there for a six day working visit, to meet 16 fund managers from 11 US firms in San Francisco.

The Prime Minister was quoted in New Straits Times as saying:
If you look at the oil price today and what it was one year ago, it means we would lose RM40 billion. Can you imagine, without GST, what kind of adverse impact it would have on not only the economy, but also the people’s welfare?

It was his way of addressing the recalibration of the Malaysian 2016 Budget, in response to a projected revenue loss due to the dropping price of oil per barrel. It is not clear whether it also took into consideration the drop of the Ringgit.


Where did the RM40 billion figure come from?

Analysts had compared the price of oil (in February 2016) with the price of oil a year before. In 2014 (yes, more than a year before?) the average price of oil was USD100 (RM415) per barrel. The 2016 Budget was drafted with the assumption that the price of oil would be about USD48 per barrel. It worked out to about RM30 billion in revenue losses. The government's revision of its assumed oil prices to USD35 per barrel meant a further drop of RM9 billion.

All of this is projected, of course. But why include the GST in the report? I guess, in touching on the Budget, the PM could not avoid touching on the GST.

Datuk Chua Tee Yong was the Deputy Finance Minister of Malaysia in April 2016. Source: The Star (see link below)

But the GST is not to offset oil revenue loss!

On 1st April 2016, the Star reported that the Deputy Finance Minister had said that the GST is merely a taxation system to replace the existing tax system. In short, it is a type of "upgrading" of the existing tax system. It was never meant to offset the loss in oil revenue.

Here is an excerpt from the said report (link below):
“GST is a tax system to replace the former Sales and Services Tax (SST),” Chua told The Star in an interview.

Attempting to clear the misconception, he said the RM39mil tax revenue collected from GST could not cover the drop in revenue due to plunging oil prices.

“In 2014, when crude oil price was at US$100 per barrel, the revenue from Petronas, crude oil tax and royalties was RM66bil.

“But in 2016, the expected revenue from crude oil is between RM20bil and RM30bil. If we take the ceiling of RM30bil, that is a minimum loss of RM36bil,” Chua said.

As the additional revenue in the change from SST to GST was ­expected to be only RM22bil this year (RM39bil – RM17bil), it was not enough to cushion the revenue loss from the drop in crude oil prices, he said.

He pointed out that as such, the Government saw the need to recalibrate Budget 2016.
Datuk Chua was then the Deputy Finance Minister, but his portfolio has been reassigned to the Ministry of International Trade and Industry. The guy has an MBA and a background in finance. I guess he must have approached it from the numbers perspective.

What he said makes sense (in its own context). But we won't really know the numbers until the end of the year.

Soft landing bags help to cushion a fall, and may save a life. Source: THXUK.

Even So, GST Does Help Cushion Fall of Oil Revenue

Towards the end of 2015, there was an Economic Report issued that discussed the merits of the GST. Among its benefits was the fact that it "reduced reliance on oil-related revenue and cushions the impact of lower crude oil prices." (Source: Daily Express. See link below.) Here is an excerpt:
It said the introduction of GST was an important tax reform as it was a fair and efficient tax system, and broadened the tax base, and added that the GST was implemented with minimal disruption due to close cooperation between the government and businesses, as well as wider public acceptance.

References


  1. New Straits Times, 15th February 2016. 'RM40b in oil revenue loss in 2016'
  2. The Star, 1st April 2016. Chua: GST not to offset loss in oil revenue
  3. Daily Express, 24th October 2015. GST cut reliance on oil revenue

01 May 2016

Malaysian Petroleum Resources Corporation (MPRC)

The SCMP Report from 2012

In September 2012, the South China Morning Post reported on Malaysia's oil and gas industry. The report highlighted Malaysia's Economic Transformation Programme (ETP), under the leadership of Prime Minister Najib Tun Razak. It called the ETP the embodiment of "Malaysia's aspirations for an integrated oil and gas industry in Asia", a long-term plan requiring investments of USD100 billion from the private sector.

The Prime Minister, Najib Tun Razak, was quoted saying, "The government will develop Malaysia into a leading oil and gas services hub in Asia, grow Malaysia's role in oil storage, logistics and trading and import LNG [liquefied natural gas] to serve latent gas demand and attract new gas-based industries."

Further from the SCMP Report:
Large crude oil and fuel cargoes from the Middle East have to be split into smaller cargo deliveries within the region. At the same time, regional producers need a terminal to aggregate supplies before dispatching to regional refiners. Blending must be done before refinery output becomes useful to other industries. With its central location in Southeast Asia, Malaysia is the best place to do all these.

Enter the MPRC (2012)

The Malaysian Petroleum Resources Corporation (MPRC) is an agency responsible for oil and gas downstream sector goals in the prime minister's department. Its CEO and president was then (in 2012) Dr Mohammed Emir Mavani Abdullah, who was also oil, gas and energy (OGE) and financial services director at PEMANDU.

The SCMP article quoted Dr Emir as saying that Malaysia is "determined to become the trading hub" for the region. So, in 2011, the MPRC launched the GIFT (Global Incentives For Trading) programme in an effort to bring in the foreign (international) trading companies.

GIFT licensees have committed to generate a minimum company turnover of US$100 million annually, spend at least 3 million ringgit (HK$7.3 million) per year and use local expertise and support services. In return, they enjoy 3 per cent corporate tax rate, 100 per cent exemption on fees paid to non-Malaysian directors and 50 per cent exemption on gross employment income for non-Malaysian professional traders.

International traders would benefit from the comprehensive Malaysian trading ecosystem, which has "financial services, logistics and insurance mechanisms".

The SCMP article also said reported that "Malaysia's target is to build 10 million cubic metres of storage capacity by 2017."

MPRC's Mandates

The following mandates are listed on MPRC's website:
  1. Provide recommendations on policies for the O&G services and equipment sector in consultation with industry stakeholders
  2. Propose recommendations on business regulations and the tax regime for the O&G services and equipment sector
  3. Develop and share an industrial blueprint for the O&G services and equipment sector
  4. Build a database of pertinent information on O&G services and equipment companies
  5. Promote Malaysia's O&G services and equipment sector and industry players abroad
  6. Leverage on local and international financial institutions to support local companies when applying for foreign contracts
  7. Support O&G services and equipment companies to set up operations in Malaysia
  8. Interact with industrystakeholders to ensure industry requirements are met in terms of research and development, talent and financial assistance

About PEMANDU

PEMANDU is a Malaysian government agency set up in 2009 to oversee economic transformation in the nation. Its CEO is Dato Sri Idris Jala, who was once the CEO of Malaysian Airlines. Under his leadership, Malaysian Airlines shares rised from RM3 to RM6 per share. They fell after his departure.

PEMANDU's annual reports are available online. The 2015 PEMANDU Annual Report is also available for download.

MPRC Today

MPRC's Leadership

A look at the MPRC website shows that Dr Emir isn't listed in the Board of Directors. This is the current line up, as of 2016:

The current Board of Directors of the Malaysian Petroleum Resources Corporation (MPRC), as of 1st May 2016 (Source: MPRC website)


MPRC's Stakeholders

MPRC's website shows that they work closely with key stakeholders, such as:
  • PETRONAS
  • PEMANDU
  • Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI)
  • MIDA
  • MATRADE
  • State governments and agencies
  • Federal governments and agencies
  • Financial institutions
  • Domestic and Foreign Oil and Gas Companies
  • Regional Economic Corridors

MPRC's Businesses

All the following are extracted from MPRC's website. MPRC's businesses include:

  1. Investments and Opportunities: "MPRC facilitates supports and assists investors by working closely with public and private sector entities to create the right environment for new and on-going investments in oil and gas activities throughout Malaysia. ... MPRC complements the role of other existing government agencies and regulators such as MITI, MATRADE, MIDA, InvestKL, Labuan Financial Services Authority (Labuan FSA), Labuan International Business and Financial Centre (Labuan IBFC) and Malaysia International Islamic Financial Centre (MIFC) in trade and investment promotion." 
  2. Global Incentives for Trading (GIFT): "Global Incentives For Trading (GIFT) programme was introduced by MPRC and Labuan Financial Services Authority (LFSA) with the objective to attract global companies trading in petroleum and petroleum related products to locate their regional operations to Malaysia. Malaysia’s central geographical location and connectivity, is an ideal link between buyers and sellers in the region."
  3. Oil & Gas Services and Equipment (OGSE): "The OGE NKEA is a focused and sustainable initiative to attract more investments into Malaysia, to develop human capital, to encourage greater technology transfer and to use Malaysia as a regional base to do business in the Asia Pacific region." The OGSE initiative has three thrusts: (1) Sustaining oil and gas production; (2) Enhancing downstream growth; (3) Making Malaysia the Number One ASEAN Hub for Oil Field Services
  4. Pengerang Integrated Petroleum Complex (PIPC): "The Pengerang Integrated Petroleum Complex (PIPC) is one big step in creating value to the downstream oil and gas value chain in Johor. Sited in Pengerang, it is one of the largest pieces of investments in Pengerang district and located on a single plot measuring about 20,000 acres. The project will house oil refineries, naphtha crackers, petrochemical plants as well as a liquefied natural gas (LNG) import terminal and a regasification plant. In PIPC, oil refining facilities will add value to imported crude oil via the Pengerang Independent Deepwater Petroleum Terminal (PIDPT)."
  5. Sipitang Oil & Gas Industrial Park (SOGIP): "Sipitang Oil and Gas Industrial Park (SOGIP), located on a 4,065 acres site, will serve as a new focal point for oil and gas investment within the Sabah, Brunei and Labuan economic centres. The availability of oil and natural gas found off the shores of Sabah allow for development of industries that utilise oil and natural gas, especially the petrochemical industry which involves ammonia derivatives..., urea derivatives ..., bulk storage, refinery and fabrication. SOGIP is located in Mengalong, Sipitang ... 145 kilometres from Kota Kinabalu and its location is in close proximity to Labuan and Brunei Bay..."

From the PEMANDU 2015 Annual Report

MPRC was mentioned quite a number of times in PEMANDU's 2015 annual report. Since this is only a "snapshot", it will be sufficient to look at the 2015 annual report. Those interested in yesteryears can look at the earlier annual reports of PEMANDU.

Some highlights from 2015 (extracted from PEMANDU's 2015 Annual Report)
  1. "MPRC, along with Malaysia External Trade Development Corp (MATRADE), intensified efforts to bridge business opportunities in key ASEAN markets in the run up to the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) which took effect at end-2015. A total of 33 Malaysian OGSE companies were led on three Specialised Marketing Missions (SMMs) to Indonesia, Myanmar and Vietnam" (page 127)
  2. "MPRC also actively assisted MATRADE on five other SMMs – to Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Brazil, Abu Dhabi, and Saudi Arabia" (page 127)
  3. "MPRC hosted its second Oil & Gas Financial Forum (OGFF) in June 2015 to improve local OGSE firms’ access to funds. The OGFF connected oil and gas services and equipment (OGSE) companies with key players in Malaysia’s financial services landscape namely Bank Negara Malaysia, RHB Bank, SME Bank and Societe Generale, among others – to explore financing for the OGSE firms as well as to raise awareness on the OGSE landscape in Malaysia" (page 127)
  4. "As part of the technology development agenda for local OGSE companies in the 11th Malaysia Plan, MPRC has entered three memorandums of understanding with Universiti Malaya,  Universiti Teknologi Malaysia and Universiti Teknologi Petronas. These collaborations pave the way to the establishment of three research and development clusters to form industry-academia partnerships that will support the growth of Malaysian technologies and talents in OGSE sector. The three clusters, also known as Oil & Gas Innovation and Technology Clusters (OGITeC) will be advancing innovations and technology development in the following areas: Subsurface Technology (UM), Marine Systems (UTM), and Topside Process Engineering" (UTP) (page 127)
  5. "MPRC actively promotes the development of O&G focused training and development centres within the country. Internationally recognised institutions such as Aberdeen Drilling School, UMW-INSTEP Drilling Academy, Harness Energy, The Welding Institute and OPITO BOSIET Training centres have been established in Malaysia." (page 128)
  6. (In 2014, MPRC introduced the MPRC100.) "The MPRC100 is a list of the Top 100 Oil and Gas Services and Equipment (OGSE) companies in Malaysia ranked based on their revenue. It maps industry segments where the MPRC100 companies are operating in, and provides industry commentary featuring an aggregated view of the OGSE industry in Malaysia, and supplemental analysis." (page 132)
  7. "Other than the MPRC100, MPRC published two other documents - Malaysia OGSE Catalogue (the 2016 edition features 154 companies) and Malaysia Oil and Gas R&D Catalogue." (page 133)

Conclusion

The MPRC seems to be quite an important agency under PEMANDU's plans. Under Dato Sri Idris Jala's leadership, I have high hopes for the MPRC. I hope that there will be positive developments for the Malaysian oil and gas industry.


Read again: SCMP's 2012 report OR Enter the MPRC OR MPRC's Mandates OR About PEMANDU OR MPRC's Leadership OR MPRC's Stakeholders OR MPRC's Businesses OR OR Highlights about MPRC from PEMANDU's 2015 Annual Report

12 March 2016

Tun Dr Mahathir's Appointment as Petronas Advisor Terminated

On 11th March 2016, local newspapers began to cover the story of Tun Dr. Mahathir's termination as Petronas advisor. For those who don't know, Tun Dr. Mahathir Mohamed was Malaysia's fourth prime minister, and its longest serving PM to boot.

An extract from The Star:
“Cabinet decided that since Tun Mahathir is no longer supporting the current Government, he should no longer hold any position related to the Government. Therefore, the Cabinet today agreed unanimously to terminate the appointment of Tun Mahathir as advisor to Petronas,” said a statement by the Prime Minister’s Office.

The PMO said on Friday that Cabinet had discussed Dr Mahathir’s actions, particularly in launching the so-called “Citizens’ Declaration” with Opposition leaders last week.

“The declaration aims to topple the democratically-elected Government led by the Prime Minister, and is therefore against the law and the Federal Constitution,” it said.

Last Friday, Dr Mahathir and other signatories – including former deputy prime minister Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin, former Kedah mentri besar Datuk Seri Mukhriz Mahathir, DAP adviser Lim Kit Siang, former MCA president Tun Dr Ling Liong Sik, Amanah president Mohamad Sabu, PAS election director Datuk Mustafa Ali and former Kita president Datuk Zaid Ibrahim – signed a declaration calling for Najib’s removal.

Dr Mahathir was appointed as Petronas adviser after he stepped down as the prime minister in 2003.

He remains the chairman of Proton Holdings Bhd, a post to which he was appointed in June 2014.

Source: The Star, 11 March 2016. "Dr Mahathir Terminated As Petronas Advisor"

ASTRO Awani covered the same news but added a little note that Tun Dr. Mahathir had once wanted to resign in 2013, because of poor health. Here is an excerpt:
Dr Mahathir had been appointed as Petronas adviser after he announced his retirement as prime minister in 2003.

In December 2013, Dr Mahathir had stated his intention to resign from the post, citing health reasons.

However, Najib at the time had advised the former UMNO president to stay on.

Source: ASTRO Awani, 11 March 2016, "Tun Mahathir terminated as Petronas adviser"
All this was because Tun Dr. Mahathir teamed up with Opposition members to form a "Save Malaysia" movement, which vowed to change the Prime Minister. There are also Barisan Nasional (ruling coalition) veteran members in that movement.

From the Malay Mail Online:
Dr Mahathir led a delegation of politicians and activists last week to sign a “Citizens’ Declaration” that called for the replacement of Najib as prime minister and a change of his government.

The declaration expressed concern over the controversies surrounding state investment firm 1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB) and the RM2.6 billion deposited in Najib’s personal accounts.

It also carried over 40 signatures comprising Barisan Nasional (BN) veterans, opposition politicians and civil society leaders.

During the signing, Dr Mahathir told a press conference that a vote of no-confidence against Najib in Parliament was among the methods the group would consider, though he added that this would require the support from the majority, including lawmakers from Umno that is the largest party in the House.

Source: The Malay Mail Online, 11 March 2016. "Putrajaya axes Dr M as Petronas adviser over anti-Najib declaration"
From the Straits Times (Singapore):
Dr Mahathir's group - now known as the "Save Malaysia" movement - comprises opposition figures and civil society leaders as well as Umno rebels including suspended Umno deputy president Muhyiddin Yassin, as well as opposition stalwarts jailed during the former strongman's 22-year rule, such Mr Lim Kit Siang and Mr Mohamed Sabu.

Jailed opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim also expressed support for the alliance despite having been sacked as deputy prime minister by Dr Mahathir in 1998 before he was incarcerated for abuse of power and on a sodomy conviction that was subsequently overturned.

The 45 members inked an agreement last Friday to cooperate in ousting Datuk Seri Najib over allegations of graft involving US$700 million (S$964 million) linked to 1MDB that ended up in his personal accounts.

Source: The Straits Times, 11 March 2016. "Malaysia's Mahathir Mohamad's role as adviser to Petronas terminated."

From Channel NewsAsia:
A total of 58 people had signed a declaration on Mar 4, led by Dr Mahathir, calling for a national movement to remove Mr Najib through legal and non-violent means. They also pledged to take action against those who associated with or covered up for the Prime Minister.

Source: Channel NewsAsia, 11 March 2016. "Malaysia ex-PM Mahathir Mohamad's appointment as Petronas advisor terminated"

The three reports seem to indicate that there is some confusion on the number of people participating in the declaration. Was it 58, as CNA said? Or 45, as ST said? Or 40+, as MMO said?

A few questions come to mind:
  1. Who will be the new advisor for Petronas?
  2. What was Tun Dr Mahathir's contributions to Petronas during his tenure as advisor?
  3. What does Petronas's board of directors have to say about this?
It might be that Tun Dr. Mahathir's advisory role was not valued highly at Petronas. I failed to find mention of Tun Dr. Mahathir's name in the Petronas annual report for 2014, the Petronas annual report for 2013, the Petronas annual report for 2012, and the Petronas annual report for 2011. I couldn't find any link for the 2015 annual report at this page.

When I spoke to some Singaporeans, they said that their country is stable and boring. They find Malaysia interesting because it's a new drama every day.

12 March 2012

Tan Sri Hassan Marican Gets Singapore Job

Dear Reader,

Until 2010, Petronas, Malaysia's state-owned petrol company, was helmed by Tan Sri Hassan Marican. After having left Petronas, Tan Sri Hassan was appointed to Singapore's Sembcorp Industries on that same year. Recently, The Malaysian Insider reported that Tan Sri Hassan Marican has been appointed to the board of several Singapore government-linked companies and will be appointed to head Singapore Power Limited (SP) in June this year.
KUALA LUMPUR, Feb 15 — Ex-Petronas CEO Tan Sri Hassan Marican is set to become chairman of Singapore Power Limited (SP) in June succeeding Ng Kee Choe who will retire on June 12, according to Energy Asia. The news portal that focuses on the energy industry reported this yesterday, citing the island republic’s utility giant.

Marican, who left the national oil company at the beginning of 2010 allegedly due to friction with the Najib administration, has been accepting directorships with several foreign firms in the energy sector.

Among them are Singapore government-linked companies including SembCorp Industries Limited, SembCorp Marine Limited and Singapore Power, which he joined on February 15, 2011. He is also a director at Sarawak Energy Berhad and US oil and gas giant ConocoPhillips
(Source: The Malaysian Insider, Ex-Petronas Chief to Helm Singapore Power Giant. 15th February 2012. URL: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/print/business/ex-petronas-chief-to-helm-singapore-power-giant/)


In response, the opposition Member of Parliament and Chief Minister of Penang, Mr Lim Guan Eng, has called upon the government to take proactive measures to prevent future loss of talent. "Talent such as Tan Sri Hassan Marican does not come by every day, and our government must take immediate measures to plug this leak in order to retain such talent or risk losing him and many more like him to overseas countries," said Mr Lim. "Clearly, so long as political know-who supersedes technical know-how, negotiated deals are preferred to open tenders and there is neither full accountability nor transparency, Malaysia is fighting a losing battle to stem the brain drain." (Source: The Malaysian Insider, Guan Eng: Hassan Marican’s Singapore jobs ‘sad day for Malaysia’. 16th February 2012. URL: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/guan-eng-hassan-maricans-singapore-jobs-sad-day-for-malaysia)

I have never met Tan Sri Hassan myself, but from what I have heard, he is quite good at his job. People who are good talents need never worry about getting a job. Tan Sri Hassan Marican is a living proof of that.

06 May 2010

Brunei Gets Two Blocks

Dear Reader,

My sincere apologies for not updating this blog recently. Thank you for dropping by to read.

Introduction: The Two Blocks

Recently, ex-premier Tun Dr Mahathir in his blog, Che Det, raised the issue of why nobody raised eyebrows when two oil-rich blocks in Sarawak became part of the state of Brunei. The two offshore blocks, named Block L and Block M, have been claimed by Malaysia based on historical facts. The ex-premier described the two blocks as containing reserves of nearly "almost 1 billion barrels" and remarked that Malaysia stood to lose "at least USD100 billion (about RM320 billion)". (Ref: Tun Dr Mahathir's blog, 12th April 2010. Malaysia's Generosity.)

Tun Dr Mahathir had referred to three articles in his piece, namely:

  1. The Edge, 22nd April 2010. Murphy Oil says Petronas terminates PSC for 2 blocks. Quote: "... following the execution of the exchange of letters between Malaysia and Brunei on March 16, 2009, the offshore exploration areas designated as Block L and Block M were no longer a part of Malaysia."
  2. The Edge, 23rd April 2010. Two Murphy Oil-Petronas PSCs off Brunei terminated. Quote: "Murphy Oil Corporation’s production sharing contracts (PSC) for the offshore exploration areas designated as Blocks L and M have been terminated by Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) as they 'are no longer a part of Malaysia'."
  3. The Brunei Times, 23rd April 2010. Brunei may soon start drilling in Blocks J and K. Quote: "Brunei can start drilling soon in offshore Blocks J and K as the Sultanate retains ownership of the two blocks under a deal made last year with the Malaysian government. ... Yves Grosjean, general manager of Total E&P Borneo BV and Total E&P Deep Offshore Borneo BV, in a telephone interview with The Brunei Times explained that Malaysia refers to Brunei's Blocks J and K as Blocks L and M."

Tun Dr Mahathir opined that the "substantial oil producing offshore area in the South China Sea, namely Block L and Block M", was given to Brunei in a settlement of long-standing competing claims over the town of Limbang. (Ref: ibid.)

Did Brunei Really Give Up Limbang?

On 16th March 2009, The Star reported that ex-premier Tun Abdullah bin Hj Ahmad Badawi had managed to reach a settlement with Brunei over the long standing issue of Limbang town. (Ref: The Star, 16th March 2009. Brunei drops claim over Limbang in Sarawak (Update3).) Here are a few relevant excerpts from the said report:

  • In a historic move, Brunei has officially dropped its long-standing claim over Sarawak’s Limbang district, ...
  • The dispute over Limbang can be traced back to the cession of the territory by Brunei to Sarawak's White Rajahs in 1890. The cession has been strongly disputed by the Sultanate which regarded the transfer as annexation by Sarawak.
  • ... Abdullah and the Sultan in a joint statement said they had reached agreement over the final maritime boundaries between the two countries in the South China Sea.
  • The dispute over maritime territory arose out of a 1979 map published by Malaysia which indicated that all deep sea territorial waters off the coast of Brunei belonged to Malaysia.

(For an alternative reading, please refer to the Brunei Times, 17th March 2009: Brunei drops all claims to Limbang)

However, on 18th March 2009, the Brunei Times reported that Brunei's Second Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Pehin Orang Kaya Pekerma Dewa Dato Seri Setia Lim Jock Seng, clarified that "the issue of territorial claims over Limbang was never discussed in the agreements signed on Monday". From the said article:

"From a press report, (it was stated that) Brunei has accepted Malaysia's reported claim on Limbang or that it (Brunei) has dropped its claim (on Limbang). In actual fact, the issue of claims over Limbang was never discussed," Pehin Dato Lim said. "What was discussed is regarding the demarcation of land boundaries." ...

Quoting the joint statement, Pehin Dato Lim said that the demarcation of land boundaries would be resolved on the basis of five existing historical agreements between the governments of Brunei and Sarawak, and where appropriate, the watershed principle.
(Source: The Brunei Times, 18th March 2009. Limbang issue was never discussed: Pehin Dato Lim.)

On 26th April 2009, the Brunei Times again touched on the topic of Limbang, this time focussing on a little known report prepared by the British in 1903. The report, spanning 10 pages, was prepared by a British civil servant, H Conway Belfeld. (Ref: The Brunei Times, 26th April 2010. Early British intel report highlights Limbang legacy.) Belfeld seemed at that point of time to anticipate the possibility of Brunei being annexed by Rajah Brooke. In relation to Limbang, the following extracts are relevant:

  • By 1905, the remnants of Brunei had already been cleaved in two, with Limbang forcibly taken by Rajah Brooke. Even though by then the British had not decided what to do with Brunei, McArthur's report had already recommended that Brunei be left as an independent nation and not be incorporated into Sarawak.
  • At that time, Limbang was intertwined with Brunei and its loss not only crippled the resources of the government, but also affected trade and movement of people.
  • Interestingly, Belfeld even recommended that should control of Brunei pass into hands other than those of its native rulers, the arrangement affecting such a change of administration should provide for the management of Limbang by the government of the state to which it properly belongs.

On 9th August 2009, the tale of how Limbang came to be annexed by Rajah Brooke was touched upon in a discussion of Bruneian history.

  • Sultan Hashim sold his Tulin territories apparently in order to finance the Sultanate as it was becoming economically weak. British Charles Brooke used this critical moment to annex the area of Limbang in Sarawak.
  • In his efforts to regain the land, Sultan Hashim asked for help from the Ottoman Sultan Abdul Hamid. In his letter to the Sultan of Ottoman, Sultan Hashim wrote, "My lands and the Religion of Islam have been destroyed by the infidel and one of my land named Limbang has been seized by the infidel, namely Charles Brooke in Sarawak." But the letter was never been received or read by Sultan Abdul Hamid after a British spy confiscated it.
  • The British did not even assist Brunei in recovering Limbang; and now, Limbang is a thorn in modern Brunei-Malaysia relationship.
(Source: The Brunei Times, 9th August 2009. A century filled with upheavals. Also read more on this matter in the following article: The Brunei Times, 3rd August 2008. The Sultan who thwarted Rajah Brooke.)

On the 3rd of May 2010, The Brunei Times again touched on the Limbang issue. The newspaper's editorial celebrated the formal recognition that Brunei held sovereignty over Blocks J and K (or Blocks L and M, as Malaysians call them). At the same time, the editorial noted that Brunei did not admit that Limbang had been ceded to Malaysia. (Ref: The Brunei Times, 3rd May 2010. Mutual benefit the preferred way.)
  • Limbang is another unresolved issue between the two countries. On March 19 last year, the Malaysian news agency Bernama quoted then Foreign Minister Rais Yatim as saying that the redemarcation of Malaysia-Brunei border would be carried out to resolve various border issues. Rais added that that the issue of Limbang would be regarded as resolved once the exchange of border agreements was finalised. "(The word) Limbang was not mentioned in the documents. It was the perception that when the matter of the five agreements (signed between 1920 and 1939) are resolved... the issue of Limbang will also be resolved...," said Rais then.
  • Abdullah, confirmed this in his response to Dr Mahathir's accusation that he had traded the offshore oil blocks for Limbang (which Brunei denies) saying that both countries would conduct a joint survey and that where no land boundary agreement existed, the joint survey would determine the land boundary based on the watershed principle. "When the entire boundary demarcation exercise is completed, there will be established a final and permanent boundary between Sarawak on the Malaysian side and Brunei on the other side," said Abdullah.

Brunei today is smaller than it was a hundred years before. Parts of Brunei are now absorbed into the East Malaysian states of Sabah and Sarawak. An article on postal stamps during Japanese occupation of Brunei provides a clue:

  • In Borneo, the northern part which comprised Brunei, Sabah and Sarawak was known as "Kita Borneo". Kita Borneo was placed under one administration with Kuching as its capital run by a governor by the name of Gun Shirekan Kakka, General Yamawaki.
  • Brunei became one of five Japanese Prefectures in the former British Borneo or Kalimantan Utara. The Brunei Prefecture included Baram, Labuan, Lawas and Limbang which were all former Brunei territories. This was the only time during modern times that all these territories were recombined to form one Brunei.
(Source: The Brunei Times, 25th January 2010. Stamps during Japanese Occupation.)

Implications: Opposition Makes Noise

What is clear is that Brunei denies that it has given up its claims on Limbang. On the other hand, ex-premier Tun Abdullah Hj Ahmad Badawi has stated firmly that Blocks L and M are now part of Brunei's territory as part of the settlement of Brunei's claims on Limbang. This may mean that there has been no proper closure on the Limbang issue while Malaysia has given up Blocks L and M (or Blocks J and K, as Brunei refers to them). This may have led to a one-sided deal.

On 4th May 2010, PKR chief for Keningau and party vice president, Datuk Dr Jeffrey Kitingan, was reported questioning why Malaysia has not replied to Brunei's denial that it had given up its claims on Limbang. From the article at Free Malaysia Today:

"There is also a serious doubt whether the territorial dispute with Brunei on the sovereignty over Limbang was actually resolved because Brunei disclaimed any such surrender after the cession of Sabah maritime territory. There was no rebuttal form Malaysia on Brunei's disclaimer."

The younger brother of the state BN government's deputy chief minister Joseph Pairin, Kitingan said the big question now is whether surrender has achieved anything.

"If it has nothing to do with Limbang, why was the surrender made? Was the territory sold, how much money was involved, and who received it?
(Source: Free Malaysia Today, 4th May 2010. 'Why oil blocks handed over in secrecy?' A map of Brunei, Limbangan, and Blocks L and M is available at the article.)

Elsewhere, a native of Sarawak wrote to Free Malaysia Today to suggest that Limbang was more important than anyone had dared to imagine.

Why give away another part of Sarawak—a part that happens to be rich in oil—just to make Brunei drop its claim on Limbang? When did modern-day Limbang become part of Brunei?

Brunei may be claiming that Limbang belongs to it, but that does not mean it does.

Otherwise, the monarchy can use the same logic to claim all of Sarawak, which was Brunei territory until James Brooke secured the land for himself. (He later ceded it to Britain.)
(Source: Free Malaysia Today, 6th May 2010. Limbang issue: Time for a referendum?)

Even Yong Teck Lee, former Chief Minister of Sabah, could not resist joining the chorus of critics. Free Malaysia Today reported:

The contentious ceding of two oil blocks, which sit on Sabah waters, by the federal government to Brunei in March 2009 as part of a ‘deal’ to retain Limbang in Sarawak has cost Sabah RM16 billion in potential oil royalties, according to former Sabah chief minister Yong Teck Lee.

He said the oil blocks L and M sat on three million acres of Sabah’s maritime territory and apart from depriving the state of oil royalties based on former prime minister Dr Mahathir Mohamad’s estimates, the Cabinet decision was also unconstitutional.
(Source: Free Malaysia Today, 4th May 2010. Oil blocks deal: Huge financial loss for Sabah.)

Win-Win Situation?

On 3rd May, 2010, Tun Dr Mahathir on his blog again touched on the topic of Blocks L and M. He said: "I am glad that Petronas is going to take part in the exploration and production of the two blocks we surrendered to Brunei. That still does not mean we will get much out of the deal." (Ref: Tun Dr Mahathir's blog, 3rd May 2010. Not So Generous?)

On 1st May 2010, the New Straits Times had reported:

  • Under a “commercial” agreement with Brunei, Malaysia can now jointly develop oil and gas resources in two areas previously under dispute by both countries. Although sovereign rights to the resources in what was known as Block L and Block M now belong to Brunei, Malaysia will be allowed to participate on a commercial basis for 40 years, said former prime minister Tun Abdullah Ahmad Badawi.
  • “This means that the agreement was not a loss for the country as far as the oil and gas resources are concerned.” He added that the financial and operational modalities for giving effect to the arrangement would be further discussed by the two sides.
(Source: New Straits Times, 1st May 2010. Malaysia-Brunei deal on oil resources.)

On 1st May 2010 as well, The Star reported that ex-premier Tun Abdullah Hj Ahmad Badawi denied that he had signed away Malaysia's rights to oil exploration in Blocks L and M. Instead, the ex-premier was quoted saying "the agreement allowed Malaysia to join in the exploration of petroleum resources from two areas known as Blocks L and M" and the agreement was signed only after Cabinet had approved it on 11th February 2009. (Ref: The Star, 1st May 2010. Pak Lah refutes claims it was a deal with Brunei in ‘exchange’ for Limbang.) The ex-premier was quoted saying, "This means that in so far as the oil and gas resources are concerned, the agreement is not a loss for Malaysia" -- referring to the commercial arrangement which will allow Malaysia to participate in oil exploration at Blocks L and M for the next 40 years. (The matter was also reported in The Brunei Times, 1st May 2010. Brunei owns Blocks J and K, says Abdullah.)

By 2nd May 2010, The Star again reported that firstly, Blocks L and M had been renamed as Blocks CA1 and CA2; and secondly, Petronas has commenced negotiations with the state of Brunei to discuss commercial arrangements pertaining to Blocks CA1 and CA2. (Ref: The Star, 2nd May 2010. Petronas: Malaysia still has oil exploration deal with Brunei.) (Refer also to: The Brunei Times, 2nd May 2010. Petronas invited to develop 2 offshore oil blocks.)

On 3rd May 2010, Wisma Putra had issued a press release to say that international law recognises Brunei's rights to Blocks L and M (or Blocks J and K as they are known in Brunei).

  • Malaysia’s oil concession Blocks L and M which coincided with Brunei Darussalam’s Blocks J and K are recognised under the Exchange of Letters as being situated within Brunei Darussalam’s maritime areas, over which Brunei Darussalam is entitled to exercise sovereign rights under the relevant provisions of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea 1982 (UNCLOS 1982).
  • The establishment of the CAA incorporating these Blocks provides for a sharing of revenues from the exploitation of oil and gas in the CAA between the two States.
(Source: The Star, 3rd May 2010. Brunei has sovereign rights over 2 oil-rich areas: Wisma Putra. Refer also to the original press release at the website of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.)

On 3rd May 2010 as well, The Brunei Times reported that Malaysian Prime Minister, Dato' Sri Mohd. Najib bin Tun Haji Abdul Razak, was positive that the issue of Blocks L and M (or Blocks J and K, or more recently known as Blocks CA1 and CA2) could be amicably resolved. The Malaysian premier was quoted saying, "His Majesty Sultan Haji Hassanal Bolkiah Mu’izzaddin Waddaulah, the Sultan and Yang Di-Pertuan of Brunei Darussalam has always said he wanted to see a solution which is based on a mutually-beneficial formula." (Ref: The Brunei Times, 3rd May 2010. Najib sees win-win solution for both countries.)

18 August 2009

August Update

In the past few months, crude oil prices have gone down and climbed up again. Forbes reports that crude oil futures for September delivery traded at more than USD69 per barrel today, a rise of 3% from yesterday. (Ref: Reuters, 18th August 2009. Oil rises above $68 on Wall Street gains.)

In the local Malaysian scenario, the following interesting stories have appeared.

(1) The International Monetary Fund (IMF) advised that Malaysia should reduce its dependency on oil. (Ref: The Star Online, 16th August 2009. IMF: Take preventive steps and reduce dependence on oil.) The Forbes today also reported:
Malaysia shelved plans to implement GST in 2007 but has recently put it back on the drawing board due to declining oil revenues.

Malaysia's budget deficit excluding oil revenues will be 11 percent of GDP in 2008, according to the IMF, and with lower oil prices in 2009 than in 2008, the income from oil will shrink in 2010 as it is based on 2009 prices.

(Source: Forbes, 18th August 2009. UPDATE 2-Malaysia targets lower budget deficit in 2010)


The good news is that GST isn't implemented just yet in Malaysia. The bad news is that it may, if the expectations about the shrinking profits from oil in 2010 prove to be correct.

(2) Malaysia and Iran have agreed to set up a joint company called SKS_PARS. Gas condensate construction in both Iran and Malaysia are expected to lead to the daily production of 120,000 barrels (Iran) and 250,000 barrels (Malaysia) of crude oil. (Ref: United Press International, 17th August 2009. Iran, Malaysia team up on energy.) Interestingly enough it was noted in another UPI report that "Washington opposes any project that could give Tehran economic benefits, especially in the energy sector." (Ref: UPI, 18th August 2009. Washington links Pakistani aid to IPI.) It remains to be seen whether SKS_PARS will face hostility from Washington.

(3) Until 31st August 2009, Shell Malaysia is running a competition to award weekly cash prizes of RM30,000, RM3,000 and RM300. The competition runs for eleven (11) weeks all in. You can check out the winners for the first eight (8) weeks so far. There's another three (3) weeks left to go! Check out the link.

(4) Shell launched its RON 95 fuel late July 2009, in response to and in support of the Government's initiative of introducing RON 95 nationwide by 1st September 2009. (Ref: The Star Online, 28th July 2009. RON 95 petrol launched, Shell targets 1m users.)

(5) Cadbury New Zealand announced that it will stop using palm oil in its chocolate making recipes. Bernama made reference to an NZ report that linked palm oil supply with native land deforestation. (Ref: Bernama, 17th August 2009. Cadbury In New Zealand To Stop Using Palm Oil In Its Chocolate.) An excerpt from a report at Stuff magazine (NZ):
Palm oil is derived from the fruit and kernels of the oil palm and is used in cosmetics, cleaning products and many processed foods.

Much of the oil comes from land where existing rainforest has been slashed and burned to make way for Palm oil plantations.

Three quarters of all Palm oil comes from Malaysia and Indonesia where rainforests - housing the Bornean and Sumatran orangutans and other flora and fauna - are being destroyed.
(Source: Stuff.co.nz, 17th August 2009. Cadbury stops using palm oil in chocolate.)


Readers may also like to consider that the terrible haze in Kuala Lumpur recently has been pinned on plantation firms. Considering that it was the Indonesian State Minister for Environment who blamed the plantation companies for the forest fires, it certainly is a bold accusation / statement. (Ref: The Jakarta Post, 9th August 2009. Plantation firms behind forest fires in Riau: Minister.)

(6) Malaysia and Brunei are exploring the possibility of an oil joint venture. (Ref: The Star Online, 7th August 2009. Malaysia and Brunei closer to inking deal on oil and gas joint venture.)

(7) Malaysia and Morocco will considering increasing two way trade in a mutually beneficial way. Morocco will consider importing more palm oil from Malaysia while Malaysia will consider importing more phosphates from Morocco. (Ref: The Star Online, 15th August 2009. Eager for a fair exchange.)

12 April 2009

A Little On Ethanol and Biodiesel

In Australia, it was reported by the Sydney Morning Herald that the Australian government's target that fuel companies should have at least 2% ethanol blended with their petrols by the end of 2008, was not met. (Ref: The Sydney Morning Herald, 23rd March 2009. Companies Miss Ethanol Target. URL: http://www.smh.com.au/environment/energy-smart/companies-miss-ethanol-target-20090322-95mu.html) From the same report:

The revelations cast doubt on the likelihood of achieving the Rees Government's mandatory target of 6 per cent by 2010, with plans to give motorists the choice in 2011 of only E10 (which contains 10 per cent ethanol) or premium unleaded.

Gasoline (a.k.a. petrol) containing a 10 percent blend of ethanol is known as E10 or "gasohol". (Source: US Energy Information Administration, February 2007. Biofuels in the US Transportation Sector. URL: http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/analysispaper/biomass.html)

Is ethanol really the solution to the problem of peak oil? Some people say that ethanol is not the solution. Watch the following video and see if you agree.

The main controversy revolving around ethanol in fuels, at least for the USA, is that consumers' stomachs will be in direct competition with the auto industry for corn, and other organic sources of ethanol. From the US Energy Information Administration website (ibid), it is clear that the US relies primarily on corn for its ethanol needs:

The U.S. ethanol industry relies almost exclusively on corn, consuming 20 percent of the available corn supply in 2006. At current production levels, corn— which is produced domestically in large volumes—is the most attractive feedstock for ethanol. As ethanol production increases, competition for corn supplies among the fuel, food, and export markets, along with a decline in the marginal value of ethanol co-products, is expected to make production more expensive.

But the expected increase of human population and the non-increase of farming land would mean that in the long run corn is not viable. The same report also mentions switching to more energy efficient crops.

Cellulosic biomass from switchgrass, hybrid willow and poplar trees, agricultural residues, and other sources has significant supply potential, possibly up to 4 times the potential of corn. Switchgrass and poplars could be grown on CRP lands, where corn cannot be grown economically, but they would not be competitive with corn until corn prices rose or the capital and non-feedstock production costs of cellulosic ethanol were significantly reduced. To expand beyond a production level of 15 to 20 billion gallons per year without seriously affecting food crop production and prices, the industry must make a transition to crops with higher yields per acre and grow crops in an environmentally permissible manner on CRP lands, while continuing to provide profits for producers.

Ethanol based fuels do not generate as much energy as petrol. (Ref: How Stuff Works, Is Ethanol Really More Eco-Friendly Than Gas? URL: http://auto.howstuffworks.com/ethanol-facts1.htm) The EIA report says:

E10 (10 percent ethanol) has 3.3 percent less energy content per gallon than conventional gasoline. E85 (which currently averages 74 percent ethanol by volume) has 24.7 percent less energy per gallon than conventional gasoline.
 

Producing ethanol requires more energy than the ethanol itself contains: "... ethanol could end up containing less energy than the gasoline consumed to produce it." (Ref: How Stuff Works, Ibid.) This is further confirmed in a report at The Oil Drum (Ref: The Oil Drum, 13th January 2009, The Effect of Natural Gradients on the Net Energy Profits from Corn Ethanol, URL: http://netenergy.theoildrum.com/node/4910):

... large amounts of corn must be grown and harvested to equal even a small portion of our gasoline consumption on an energy equivalent level, which will undoubtedly expand the land area that is impacted by the production process of corn-based ethanol.

Ethanol producers of course encourage petroleum marketers to blend their fuels with ethanol. They promise higher margins of profit to petroleum marketers. (Ref: American Coalition for Ethanol, Blending Economics. URL: http://www.ethanol.org/index.php?id=53&parentid=29)  Lobbyists also claim that food price increases are not caused by the production of ethanol, but are caused by higher energy prices. (Ref: American Coalition for Ethanol, Food & Fuel. URL: http://www.ethanol.org/index.php?id=83&parentid=25) 

The argument that food prices have gone up due to factors other than ethanol, are supported by a recent report by the "nonpartisan" US Congressional Budget Office.

The budget office estimates that ethanol was responsible for 10 percent to 15 percent of the increase in food prices between April 2007 and April 2008. Put another way, ethanol contributed 0.5 to 0.8 points of the 5.1 percent increase in food inflation during that period. By comparison, higher energy prices, which raised transportation and electricity costs, were responsible for as much as 36 percent of the food price inflation, the study says.

Find the study, and the budget office director's blog note, here: www.cbo.gov/doc.cfm?index=10057

Source: Des Moines Register, 12th April 2009. Study: Other Factors, Not Ethanol, Chief Culprit in Food Price Jumps. By Brasher, P. URL: http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20090412/BUSINESS03/904120322/-1/BUSINESS04



Presently independent ethanol producers in USA are suffering and a number are in trouble or have closed down:

The situation is neatly summed up by an article from Herald & Review, an Illinois newspaper.

Of course, the larger ethanol companies are not the only ones having difficulty. Many smaller one and two plant operations have also sought bankruptcy protection in the past year following the plummet in crude oil futures in the latter part of 2008. No, they were not all caught speculating on the long side of the crude oil market, but caught in a cost-price squeeze. With ethanol prices linked at the hip to unleaded gasoline, what goes up must come down and ethanol prices fell below cost of production. At least the cost of production that had been booked by the plant’s corn buyers.

The ethanol industry that had been flying high in 2008 with $140 crude oil, and market analysts predicting $200 prices, ethanol refiners were locking in corn prices at higher prices to help push that commodity well past $7. When the crude oil balloon popped, and prices deflated with the rest of the global economy, ethanol prices had to fall as well and that destroyed any hope of profits, for companies that are solely dependent upon ethanol sales. The result has been the closure of many ethanol plants, because there is no future in keeping open a plant that is losing money. That is something that cannot be made up on volume, no matter how large.


(Source: Herald & Review Blogs, Farm Blog by STU ELLIS. 12th April 2009. Ethanol Industry Burning Through Equity. URL: http://www.herald-review.com/blogs/stuellis/?p=159

This article now turns its eyes to Malaysian shores. What about the Malaysian scenario? A 2006 report indicates that the same difficulties plague our biofuel efforts. The report, Biofuels For The Malaysian Transport Sector, was prepared under the Malaysian-Danish Environmental Co-operation Program and is worth reading. It can be found at http://eib.ptm.org.my/upload/files/Bio-fuels%20for%20the%20Malaysian%20Transport%20Sector.doc

Among others, the salient points in the article are:

  • Road transport is expected to double its energy consumption between 2004 to 2020.
  • Without change of energy strategy, Malaysia will turn from its present status as oil supplier to a future (2014) status as an importer of oil.
  • The potential Malaysian raw materials for biodiesel production were identified as Crude Palm Oil (CPO), used cooking oil, animal fat or oils that in future may be produced by new oil crops such as e.g. Jatropha oil. CPO is used as raw material for biodiesel in several plants worldwide, but also in Malaysia. CPO has the highest potential ... In 2005, the production of CPO was nearly 15 mio. tons, and it is forecasted to rise to nearly 18 mio. tons in 2020.
  • Available raw materials for production of cellulose-ethanol were identified as EFB, trunks, and fronds from the palm industry. EFB is assessed to have the highest commercial potential for bioethanol production, in that the supply chain can be extended from the palm-oil mill to the ethanol production plant. The EFB production is 6.1 mio. tons dry EFB and forecasted to be at 7.6 mio. tons dry EFB in 2025. 
  • With the existing production techniques and market conditions (raw material prices at 1,400 RM / t and raw oil prices of 60 US$ / barrel), the production price of biodiesel exceeds the production prices of fossil fuel. That picture also fits the production of bioethanol.
  • For Malaysia, the existing price structures for fuels are also influenced by the fossil fuel-subsidising policy, which makes biofuels even less competitive. Therefore, utilisation of biofuels is highly depending on political decisions.
  • Technically, it is realistic to introduce 10% - 20% biodiesel (B10) and 5% bioethanol (E5) to fuels, without any major changes in the existing engine technology. 

The push in Malaysia seems to veer towards biodiesel without much news about bioethanol. In Malaysia the push is towards B5 biodiesel (palm methyl ester) which utilizes crude palm oil. It was launched as Envo Diesel. These are seen as follows:

  • August 2005: The Malaysian government launches the "Five fuel diversification policy". It comprises three main strategies: (1) production and utilisation of biofuel for transportation, (2) production of biofuel for export, especially to the European market, and (3) commercialisation of biofuel technology as a local technology. (Source: Department of Environment newsletter, IMPAK issue #4 of 2008. Palm Oil Based Diesel: An Inconvenient Opportune? URL: http://www.doe.gov.my/files/multimedia141/Impak08-4.pdf)
  • January 2006: The Plantation Industries and Commodities Ministry announced that B5 biodiesel would be supplied free for one (1) year to ministries and government agencies that volunteer to try it out. (Source: The Star, Nation section, 2nd January 2006. One year trial of B5 fuel. URL: http://thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2006/1/2/nation/13002911&sec=nation)
  • May 2006: The Plantation Industries and Commodities Ministry announced that petrol stations must supply B5 Envo Diesel by 2007. (Source: National Economic Action Council, quoting Business Times report dated 5th May 2006. Oil Firms In Malaysia Must Supply Envo Diesel Next Year. URL: http://www.neac.gov.my/index.php?ch=66&pg=186&ac=2018)
  • October 2006: Shell announces that it will undertake research with the Malaysian Palm Oil Board into the B5 biodiesel. (Source: The Star, 6th October 2006. Shell in joint biodiesel study. URL: http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2006/10/6/business/15642935&sec=business)
  • October 2008 : The Plantation Industries and Commodities Ministry announced that it would push for a mandatory B5 biodiesel policy to help reduce the overstock of crude palm oil by 500,000 tonnes per month. (Source: The Star, Business Section, 14th October 2008. Ministry to push for mandatory use of biofuel. URL: http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2008/10/14/business/2263373&sec=business)
  • As at 31st October 2008, 91 palm-based biofuel manufacturing licences with a total capacity of 10.2 million tonnes annually have been approved. (Source: The Star, 24th January 2009. Further hiccups ahead. URL: http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2009/1/24/business/3097732)
  • December 2008: The mandatory B5 biodiesel policy is to take effect by 2010, i.e. all diesel vehicles in the country must use B5 biodiesel by 2010. (Source: Biofuels Digest, 11th December 2008. Malaysia to impose B5 palm oil biodiesel mandate in 2010. URL: http://biofuelsdigest.com/blog2/2008/12/11/malaysia-to-impose-b5-palm-oil-biodiesel-mandate-in-2010/)
  • March 2009 : The Plantation Industries and Commodities Ministry announced that mandatory B5 biodiesel policy will not be deferred. It has been in operation since 1st February 2009 and is being implemented in stages. (Source: The Star, Business Section, 25th March 2009. Deferment of blend biofuel implementation unlikely. URL: http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2009/3/25/business/3547743&sec=business)
  • B5 biodiesel currently retails about RM2.80 per liter compared to RM1.70 per liter fordiesel. Malaysia will utilize the MPOB RM250 million fund to stabilize the oil palm price until end of 2009. (Source: The Star, Business Section. 24th March 2009. Challenges await Asian biodiesel producers. By Hanim Adnan. URL: http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2009/3/24/business/3539878&sec=business)

The future of the B5 biodiesel would, according to an April 2009 report, hinge on whether Saudi Arabia can maintain the price of crude oil. If crude oil prices slide to USD35 per barrel, CPO prices could come down to RM1,500 per tonne by the end of the year. (Source: The Star, 10th April 2009. Saudi Arabia holds the key to CPO price. URL: http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2009/4/10/business/3668005&sec=business)

Finally, in July 2007 the Secretary General of the Plantation Industries and Commodities Ministry, Datu Dr Michael Dosim Lunjew presented a talk at an ICS-MPOB workshop on "Status of biofuels development in Malaysia". (URL: http://www.ics.trieste.it/Portal/ActivityDocument.aspx?id=4710) The contents of the talk are quite relevant. Some points are as follows:

  • The biodiesel industry takes the following paths: Palm oil blended with methanol is marketed for the export market. Methyl ester blended with glycerol will be made available locally only if necessary. Finally, 5% palm olein is blended with 95% petroleum to form B5 biodiesel for local consumption.
  • The government has planned three stages for palm oil biodiesel: short term, medium term, and long term. Various measures would be implemented depending on the stage. The most important of these would appear to be: establishing a standard for methyl ester biofuels; establishing the Biofuel Industry Act 2006; increasing the blend from B5 to B20; and (most importantly) stabilising crude palm oil price at higher levels.

Is this the end of it? Not likely. Since peak oil is a recognised concept, the search for biofuels and alternative fuels is likely to continue. Curious readers may like to further their reading with the following:

  • Isobutanol as an alternative to ethanol biofuel. (Source: Forbes, 20th March 2008. Beyond Ethanol. URL: http://www.forbes.com/2008/03/19/innovation-ethanol-fuel-tech-innovation08-cx_wp_0319innovation.html)
  • Algae as a source of gasoline. (Source: Forbes, 28th May 2008. Turning Algae Into Gasoline. URL: http://www.forbes.com/2008/05/28/alternative-fuels-biofuels-tech_sciences_cz_kad_0528fuels.html)
  • Utilizing microbes and enzymes to break down cellulosic material and quicken ethanol production. (Source: Forbes, 19th March 2008. Superbugs May Save Biofuels. URL: http://www.forbes.com/2008/03/19/superbugs-biofuels-innovation_leadership_clayton_jw_innovation08_0319innovation.html)

Thanks for reading.


09 April 2009

Some Thoughts on Car Pooling

While browsing about the Internet today I was curious about the state of car pooling in Malaysia. Car pooling is also known as ride sharing. Car pooling is the act of several individuals using the same vehicle at the same time to get from one point to another. For obvious reasons, car pooling works best in the "get to work" commute, and back. But there is nothing to stop individuals from sharing a ride for a different kind of commute, e.g. four individuals who want to go to Penang from KL can always share a ride.

A few years ago the Government suggested that all vehicles entering the city center (Kuala Lumpur) should be charged a toll, and the toll would depend on whether the car was on car pool. That phase engendered some funny comments from an uncle of mine who joked that I might like to buy an inflatable doll (I can't mention the type) to put on the appearance of car pooling! Fancy that ... an inflatable doll of unmentionable proportions being my comrade of commutes. 

In 2006 Bernama ran a two part article on car pooling. It was in support of the Ministry of Domestic Trade and Consumer Affairs' campaign "Smart Consumer Campaign". The two articles can be accessed as follows:

In 2005, Minister in the Prime Minister's Department Datuk Mustapa Muhamed (as then he was) was quoted in a Bernama interview saying: "The transportation sector constitutes 41 per cent of energy consumption. With prior planning of trips, car pooling and the use of public transport, the expenditure on fuel could be reduced." (Ref: Bernama, 31st July 2005. Why Petrol Subsidy Should Be Reduced. URL: http://web10.bernama.com/kpdnhep/news.php?id=147829)

In 2008, FOMCA's communications director, Mohd Yusof Abdul Rahman was quoted in a Bernama interview saying: "Whenever possible, try to car pool and use lower cc vehicles as they consume less petrol." (Ref: Bernama, 6th June 2008. Fuel Price Hike: Time For Prudent Spending. URL: http://web10.bernama.com/kpdnhep/news.php?id=337692)

In early 2008 as well, under the previous Penang state government (then under Barisan), it was suggested that the Penang Bridge congestion could be partly eased by car pooling. (Ref: Bernama, 11th January 2008. Penang Bridge Traffic Congestion: Causes, Solutions? By Muna Khalid. URL: http://www.bernama.com/bernama/v5/newsindex.php?id=307113)

Needless to say there are many more examples in the news. Car pooling as a concept has been advocated countless times by our politicians and community leaders.

In mid-March 2009 it was reported in Bernama that American and German researchers found in a study of heart attack cases, reported over 4 years, that: (i) 8% of heart attacks were directly caused by being in traffic; (ii) there is a 3.2 times higher risk of heart attack within the first hour of exposure to traffic; (iii) being a driver was the most common form of traffic exposure. (Ref: Bernama, 17th March 2009. Traffic Jams Might Lead To Heart Attack. URL: http://www.bernama.com/bernama/v5/newsworld.php?id=396736)

Back to the two part Bernama article I referred to earlier, the second part quoted Muslim Consumers Association of Malaysia's executive secretary, Datuk Nadzim Johor Abu Johan, regarding some tips on car pooling. 

CAR-POOLING TIPS

To ensure smooth car-pooling, Nadzim gives several tips:

1. Establish a "fare" based on fuel, maintenance and parking costs. Agree on a specific date for the fares to be collected.

2. Set a fixed time schedule and pick-up points. Be punctual as "chronic" and habitual late car-poolers can disrupt a happy ride.

3. Draw up a schedule for driving responsibilities. If all members of a particular car-pool want alternate driving, then decide whether it is for daily, weekly or monthly basis.

4. Set up a back-up or contingency plan and establish a chain of communication. Ensure that everyone in a car-pool has the contact number of other car-poolers and agree in advance as to what should be done in the event of illness to the driver or mechanical problems to the car -- it is best to expect the unexpected.

5. An automobile association membership can be a "great investment" for those rare occasions when the ignition keys are accidentally left in a locked car or a jump-start is needed.

6. Establish policies. Smoking or non-smoking; radio and music volume; food and drinks.

Your car-pool would be more pleasant and has a better chance of success if possible irritations and distractions are eliminated.

7. The golden rule of car-pooling -- no detours or making stops along the way.

Car-pooling serves only one purpose, that is travelling to and from work and never allow the car-pool to become a shopping ride or errand service.

8. Vehicle maintenance.

A poorly maintained car consumes between 15 and 50 per cent more fuel than one that is properly maintained. A well maintained vehicle will ensure safe, reliable and comfortable ride.

9. Drive carefully as there are others in the car. No excuse for over-speeding and reckless driving.

10. Sometimes it is the "petty thing" that make a big difference. Car-pool partners would be sitting close to each other in the car and any perfume, cologne and deodorant can be offending and irritating to some people who are highly sensitive to certain smells.

Datuk Nadzim was also quoted suggesting the setting up of a car pooling website. It is this point which actually got me interested in the car pooling idea. I wondered how many efforts have been made online as to car pooling / ridesharing in Malaysia. The following are what I found.

  1. Tune Travel -- registered to Teles Systems Sdn. Bhd. (Administrative Contact: Alvin Dass 03-78046364 / 03-78777291). It seems to have potential as the main features of a ridesharing website are present: forum, travel listing, and most importantly blog.
  2. CarPool2Day -- registered to Synapses Enterprises. (Administrative Contact: Marshal Yung 03-80764376). News updates stopped at 2005. However, a quick perusal of the "Search Rides" feature at the bottom of the front page shows that there are quite a number of posts, mostly from Kuala Lumpur and Selangor. The interface could be improved but it has potential. 
  3. Malaysia Car Pool -- Hosted at Blogger.com, it seems to be a blog. Yet careful perusal of the site shows that the webmaster was clever enough to create some forms to interact with his site visitors/users. Last post was in 2008. While the idea is good, the use of a standard Blogger template may be a turn off to visitors. (Nevertheless it may be worth a visit to his form provider -- Response-O-Matic)
  4. Carpool King -- An international website (registered 2007) which serves a number of countries. Naturally the look and feel of this website are quite impressive -- but the number of listings are quite dismal. There are 4 from Kuala Lumpur and 3 from Selangor. Nevertheless a look at the Safety Features shows that some thought has gone into designing the site, although the verification of identity may be a bit tough. The web master chose to hide his details from WHOIS searches. Nevertheless you can read the press release about Mr Brian Hsu from New Zealand who founded the site.
  5. Tumpang.My -- Registered to GIS Innovation Sdn Bhd. (Administrative Contact: Lyes Mokraoui 03-42705172). The forum has been set up but there are only a few posts. Perhaps the look is too bare or the user needs to click too many times to see the listings? 
  6. Carpool Malaysia -- Registered to one Chin Wei Choong (Administrative Contact:  +60.176029199) since 2007. So far it is only one page with an e-mail contact. A project slotted for later development, perhaps?
  7. Carpool World -- Quite an innovative design using Google Maps to indicate the location of the rides for sharing. There are a number of recent posts from March and even April. The site is registered to Datasphere Corporation in New York. This website is quite innovative as they are providing a system for other car pooling groups to operate. The charges are USD10 for 500 user trip records and USD2 for every 100 additional trip records. You can also check out the service agreement.
  8. KL CarPool.com -- Registered to Chong Yu Nam (Administrative Contact: 0378802369) It aims to serve the crowd from Kuala Lumpur, Selangor and Seremban. A forum has been set up since 2008 but sadly there have been no posts.

There are probably some successful carpool websites in Singapore. Some of these sites are from a January 2008 Singaporean newspaper clipping

  1. OLX Singapore -- Free classifieds website which has a section dedicated to car pooling. Reasonable level of activity with 3 to 6 posts per month. 
  2. SG Carpool -- Requires a registration / login to view the listings. There is a blog showing activity from September 2007.
  3. Carpool.SG -- Has a forum which has reasonable level of activity.
  4. Tagxe -- Pronounced as "teksi", it has since closed down. Its webmaster redirected it to his personal blog where he also explained the reasons for the closure of the site: "At time of death, we are exactly 1 year old and we have 1,493 registered users and 349 rides created. However on our key benchmark of our success, we have no successful ride that we have matched up so far." The redirection of users to the old forum is also not satisfactory because the forum has been overrun with spam posts.
  5. Singapore Cars Forum -- Has a forum dedicated to car pooling. It draws respectable traffic post of about 10 new posts per month.
  6. Singapore Gumtree Rideshare forum -- also gets quite respectable traffic.
  7. Tompang Buddy -- also set up a forum but the traffic is not quite as much as the other sites mentioned here.
  8. Locanto Rideshare -- A forum format which draws good traffic. Many recent posts.

I am also quite impressed with Carpool Australia, which boasts that it is "Australia’s First National Car Pooling System".

05 January 2009

Happy New Year 2009

It's 2009! Welcome once again to this humble page. My humble apologies for the lapse in posts. Crude oil prices have climbed since the historic low in December. In early January the price of crude oil was slightly above USD46 per barrel. [Source: Yahoo! News, 5 Jan. 2009. Oil Supported Above $46 as OPEC Cutbacks Take Hold] As of today it is USD39.18 per barrel. [Source: New Straits Times, 14 Jan. 2009. Petrol Prices Likely To Stay] Several factors have contributed to the price of oil rising again.

First, there are the cuts in production by members of the OPEC cartel.

Second, there are interruptions in supply of petrol. Nigerian reports indicate that Nigeria's oil pipeline have been damaged. At the same time, Israel has invaded the Gaza Strip. Nobody can say if the invasion has affected oil supply yet at the same time there is also no way of negating the proposition. [Ref: Yahoo! News, 5 Jan 2009. Ibid.]

In various countries, there are petrol shortages. In Tanzania, fuel shortage resulted when the flow meter broke down while a ship was discharging petrol. (The flow meter measures the exact amount of fuel discharged for taxation purposes.) [Source: DailyNewsOnline, 14 Jan. 2009. Fuel Shortage Starts To Ease.] In Uganda, fuel shortage resulted when there was high demand. [Source: New Vision Online, 2 Jan. 2009. Petrol Shortage Persists, Diesel Enough.] Interestingly enough one commentator said that parts of Africa may continue to face petrol shortages until Kenya's plans to build a pipeline are completed. In facing the petrol shortage, the government of Rwanda recently imposed petrol rationing of a maximum of 20 liters per day. Further, the country manager of Hass Petroleum Rwanda explained that petrol scarcity was caused when one petrol vessel was stopped because it did not meet the required standards. [Source: AllAfrica.com, 8 Jan. 2009. Rwanda: The Inside Story On The Regional Fuel Crisis.]

Malaysians need not worry. The 2009 Budget looks good. The Edge Daily reports:

A host of items are now tax exempted and they include petrol card or petrol allowance for travel between home and work place for up to RM2,400 a year, petrol allowance and toll card for official duties up to RM6,000 a year, allowance or fees for parking, meal allowance and subsidies for childcare of up to RM2,400 a year.

[Source: The Edge Daily, 12 Jan. 2009. Tax Matters To Look Out For in 2009.]

Our fellow Malaysians will also be delighted to know that the Government has come up with a way to decide how they will price petrol and how tax or subsidy will be imposed. According to the Sun Daily:

"The method used now is, if it is below the threshold price, the government will impose tax, if it is above it, the government will issue subsidy. As of now we have yet to decide on the threshold price. It could be either RM1.80 or RM1.90."
[Source: Sun 2 Surf, 6 Jan. 2009. Shahrir: Petrol Won't Be Lower Than RM1.80 Per Liter.]

Cuts in petrol prices are always good. Even Asian Development Bank Executive Director Ashok Lahiri says:
... it make sense to decrease prices when global prices fall, when global price increase was not fully passed on to the consumers.


[Source: The Economic Times India, 14 Jan. 2009. ADB Questions Logic Behind Petrol Price Cut.]

Wishing everybody a wonderful new year. Petrol prices was RM1.80 per liter (the last time I checked) and hopefully it will last.